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The variant is to model outcome predictions as Asimov’s Foundation series’ Mule was in Hari Seldon’s Psychohistory projections. Extracting six doses per vial instead of five is like Jean Luc Picard being told there are five lights when there are four.
Medical Mythbusting Commentary for January 29, 2021 Source:John Ivison: Prepare for dose of reality — vaccines don’t guarantee a quick return to normal Is it five doses or six? It’s both. The Pfizer dispute, explained
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The constant in the modelling equation is the virus. Our responses are the variables that determine its greater or lesser impact on us.
Medical Mythbusting Commentary for August 17, 2020 Source:COVID-19 ‘peaks and valleys’ expected until 2022: new modelling